10/03/2019 03:44:32 PM
Industrial growth showed signs of a recovery: The index of industrial
production (IIP) of the whole industry sector in the first two months was
estimated to gain 9.2% YoY, lower than the 13.7% increase in 2018. However,
regarding the high growth base in January 2018 and the nine-day Lunar New
Year holiday, this can be considered a positive growth. The processing and
manufacturing sector started to rebound (+11.5% YoY), while the mining sector
plunged (-4.7% YoY, compared to the decrease of -1.8% YoY in 2018).
In particular, in 2019 Samsung has launched the new mobile phone products
one week earlier than in 2018, most of manufacturing activities were focused
on November and December last year instead of December and January as in
2018. The total volume of mobile phone production in November, December
2018 and January 2019 hit 57.4 million phones, +5.1% more than that in 2018.
The television manufacturing sector has maintained the momentum since 2017,
with the total producti
31/12/2018 03:53:20 PM
GDP: GDP in 2018 grew by 7.08% thanks to significant contribution from processing and manufacturing industries. GDP
growth is expected to gain 6.6 – 6.8% in 2019.
Inflation: Average headline CPI in 2018 was 3.54% due to the pressure of climing prices of oil, healthcare services and
food. 2019 CPI is forecast to be around 3.8 – 4.0%.
Monetary policy: M2 and credit growth in 2018 dropped due to the SBV’s prudent monetary policy. In 2019, monetary
policy continues to manage prudently, M2 and credit growth are supposed to be 11- 13% and 13 - 15% respectively.
Exchange rates: VND depreciated by 2.4% in 2018 because of external factors. In 2019, VND could depreciate by 2.3 -
2.5%
31/12/2018 03:52:40 PM
Vietnam stock market in 2018 witnessed significant changes, which is contrary to the stable growth in 2016-2017. Internal
factors still remained positive and supportive to the market. However, the strong impacts from external risks triggered a
simultaneous correction in main indices of 2018.
Foreign investors net-bought with a record volume in Vietnam stock market in 2018 (contrary to the net-sold trend in other
emerging markets), mainly focused on VHM, VRE, YEG, MSN…
Vietnam stock market in 2019 is expect to be volatile under the impacts of external factors, while domestic factors remain
neutral. Economic growth and profit growth of listed companies will be slower than in 2018, but still stay at a positive level,
SBV monetary policy will be managed more prudently but still loosened in general. The reasonable price zone of VNIndex in
2019 is 911-942 points, slightly increasing compared to the end of 2018 thanks to the positive growth of market EPS, although
P/E of the market i
11/12/2018 01:40:00 PM
DXG closed-loop business model supports business activities in operating flexibly and cooperating with each other. The company orientation focuses on project development, which will increase DXG business scale and profit.
With a nationwide brokerage network supported by numerous contribution channels, brokerage activities have brought DXG healthy cash flow, and secured the sales progress of DXG projects.
DXG have currently owned more than 1000ha of land capacity which mainly concentrated in HCM City. This is considered a great competitive advantage of DXG. Current available land capacity can secure the development of DXG projects and revenue in the next five years.
According to the medium-term plan, DXG will focus on developing mid-high end condo projects to ensure the product continuity. These are all high-demand products with high liquidity and demand for living because of (1) Large working aged population, increasing urbanization speed, and uptrend of the middle class in societ
30/09/2018 03:55:22 PM
Stock market had positive growth in Q3 after a sharp plunge in Q2 as oil price rebounded, concerns over trade war
temporarily cooled down, domestic inflation was kept under control and companies’ performances continued to grow
considerably in Q2.
Foreign investors returned to net sell in Q3 after net buying for 6 consecutive quarters with sales concentrating in July and
August on real estate stocks such as VIC, VHM, VRE, and NVL…
External risks maintained their great impact on the recovery trend of the market, including trade war, tightening monetary
policy of large Central Banks, along with domestic risks such as inflation, exchange rate and prudent policy of SBV… However,
thanks to the significant growth of companies’ performances and the recovery phase of the economy, Vnindex is forecast to
keep rising and approaching the 1050-1080 zone in Q4.
30/09/2018 03:54:00 PM
GDP Growth: GDP growth strengthened in the first 9 months thanks to robust growth rate in Q1 and Q3, however, it is
expected to slow down in Q4/2018.
Inflation: Q2 and Q3’s CPI were on the rise, pressure on SBV’s 2018 average inflation target of 4%.
Monetary policy: Monetary policy will be more prudent till year-end.
Exchange rate: Exchange rate will be under control if VND depreciation is within 3%. External factors will be the most
influencers to VND in Q4.
30/06/2018 03:54:42 PM
Growth: GDP’s growth strengthened with the highest 1H growth rate since 2011, however it is estimated to slowdown till
year-end.
Inflation: CPI reached highest June’s CPI since 2011, high pressure on SBV’s inflation target of 4%.
Interest Rate: SBV’s monetary may show sign of tightening up in 2H2018.
Exchange Rate: Under control if depreciation within 2% movement. Trade deficit, pressure on Balance of Payment.
30/06/2018 03:46:47 PM
1. Vietnam Macroeconomics Scorecard from 2009 to 2018
2. Vietnam Stock Market Review in 2Q.2018
3. Stock market’s concerns and opportunities in 3Q.2018
4. Stock market’s scenarios in 2H.2018
5. Recommendations and investment opportunities